Bridget Realmuto LaPerla and Travis Whitmore explore whether stock lending is at odds with the ESG focus of long-term investors
In early December 2019 the Japanese Government Pension Investment Fund announced that it had ‘decided to suspend stock lending until further notice’. This is one example of a growing number of asset owners evaluating their securities lending practices due to ESG concerns as long-term investors.
Concerns have been raised that short-sellers (borrowers) could potentially undermine long-term stewardship efforts by mispricing or not considering ESG characteristics.
The immediate impact of these events on the world’s lending supply was limited. For context, in June 2019 global on-loan balances were around $2.45 tn, representing a small proportion of the $18.47 tn available within lending programs, according to data from the International Securities Lending Association.
As the number of asset owners with ESG-related concerns grows, however, the lending supply may further decline. And between 2018 and 2019 the UN Principles for Responsible Investment (UNPRI) reported a 16 percent increase in the number of asset-owner signatories committed to ESG investing, bringing the total to more than 2,300 signatories with more than $86.3 tn in assets under management.
In this article, we attempt to form a perspective on the intersection of ESG investing and securities lending based on academic findings. After an extensive literature review, there are four main findings we cover:
What are the ESG concerns of long-term investors? A growing number of asset owners and managers are voicing concerns that securities lending limits their ability to exercise proper stewardship on underlying investments, highlighting three key concerns:
Asset owners are not the first to direct concerns at short-sellers. Financial regulators have historically viewed short-selling with skepticism, especially during times of financial turmoil. For example, during the 2008 financial crisis, the SEC pointed to short-sellers as a reason behind the sharp decline in prices and banned short-selling on 799 financial stocks. The continued debate has attracted interest from academics, which we can turn to for a better understanding of short-sellers' role in capital markets.
What is short-selling’s role in capital markets? Before tackling whether short-selling harms long-term value, we need to understand its role in capital markets. Empirical studies that explore short-selling’s role in markets tend to fall into three main categories:
Each research methodology provides a different perspective on the securities lending market. Cross-country variation studies use variations in regulations and market practices across countries to study the impact short-selling has on market efficiency. Event studies analyze the impact of short-selling constraints and regulations on various events (such as bans during the 2008 financial crisis). Finally, time-series and cross-sectional analysis uses daily or intra-day stock-loan data to examine the impact of shorting flow at the securities level.
The two primary considerations when examining short-selling’s impact on capital markets are liquidity and price discovery. Liquidity is the ease with which an asset can be sold or bought and is commonly proxied for by the bid-ask spread. In illiquid markets, bid-ask spreads are wider, resulting in costlier trades. Price discovery is a critical process in financial markets in which the proper price of an asset is determined based on the incorporation of all available public information.
Liquidity In theory, the impact of short-selling constraints on liquidity is ambiguous. Numerous studies have shown that short-sellers are informed market participants – increases in borrowing rates or shorting demand are correlated with abnormal negative returns. Removing informed sellers reduces the asymmetry of information and narrows bid-ask spreads. At the same time, the market mechanism is disrupted and revelation of information is slower, which could widen spreads.
Empirical findings from all three types of academic studies tend to agree that short-selling constraints reduce liquidity at the single-stock and broader market level:
Price discovery The theoretical impact of short-selling on the speed of price discovery is clearer than it is for liquidity. Short-selling constraints restrict traders with negative information from expressing their sentiment, slowing the speed with which bad news is incorporated into market prices.
Empirical evidence from the three categories tends to agree with this:
Is short-selling detrimental to long-term value? The findings cited above provide empirical evidence that short-selling is important for efficient capital markets and, when viewed holistically, suggest that short-selling is not detrimental to long-term value. Additionally, there are several specific studies that found no statistical difference in excess returns of stocks for which short-sales were banned and for those stocks in which short-selling was permitted.
To summarize, a body of academic evidence indicates that short-sellers are informed in that they anticipate price declines. They are not responsible for driving asset prices down, however. What does this mean for investors?
While it is often claimed that the short-term horizon of borrowers is at odds with long-term objectives, existing literature suggests this is not the case and, instead, reveals short-selling to be an important market mechanism. Moreover, evidence indicates that short-sellers’ presence in a market increases liquidity. Increased liquidity means reduced transaction costs on average, while price discovery helps investors get more accurate prices and potentially prevents disruptive price bubbles.
Basic financial theory suggests – and empirical evidence supports – the idea that short-selling, facilitated by securities lending, improves market efficiency and allows for the proper allocation of capital. That said, this view looks only at short-selling from a purely economic perspective but does not necessarily speak to the interplay between short-selling and ESG characteristics of securities.
The growing presence of ESG in investing To understand the intersection of ESG and securities lending, we pull insights from empirical studies on investor behavior in climate finance and ESG investment management of listed equities. In our 2019 paper, ‘Decarbonization Factors’, a collaboration with Harvard Business School’s Professor George Serafeim, we shed light on how active institutional flows move around environmental characteristics, specifically operational carbon intensity, and the long-term implications of such patterns of flow.
This work on decarbonization factors and investor behavior reveals that active institutional investor flows contain information about anticipated climate-related fundamentals and returns. Put simply, for those seeking alpha opportunities, tilting toward low-carbon strategies that experience positive contemporaneous flows improves returns.
In addition, we observed a low correlation between strategies in the US and Europe. This was particularly salient after 2016, when almost all US decarbonization factors experienced outflows after the change in presidential administration, an effect not seen in Europe.
There is regional specificity seen in investor behavior as well as regulation. For environmental metrics, such as carbon emissions, companies are increasingly paying the price through the 58 sovereign and sub-sovereign pricing schemes globally.
Also, the European Commission has set legislation around the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures, Japan’s stewardship code recommends company engagement to promote sustainable growth, and the French Energy Transition Law (Article 173) requires institutional investors to disclose information on their ESG integration and how strategies align with an energy and ecological transition. Companies are disclosing more ESG metrics to be listed on any of the 94 sustainable stock exchanges requiring some level of ESG disclosure, a number that has significantly increased over the last 10 years. ESG characteristics are being considered throughout the investment landscape. For example, recently Goldman Sachs announced that it will not ‘take a company public unless there is at least one diverse board candidate.’
These efforts are extensions of empirical research revealing that investors are focusing on material ESG metrics. Leading frameworks, most notably the Sustainability Accounting Standards Board, identify material ESG metrics as meaningful to the financial or operational performance of a firm.
In Serafeim’s foundational paper, ‘Corporate sustainability: First evidence on materiality’, he and co-authors Mozaffar Khan and Aaron Yoon study novel materiality sustainability characteristics to discover value implications of ESG investments. To understand how public sentiment has changed over the years, in 2018 Serafeim found that the valuation premium of strong material ESG performance has increased over time as a function of ‘positive public sentiment momentum’.
Alpha was recognized through the creation of a low-sentiment ESG factor, designed to identify firms improving ESG performance with low public sentiment. This research found that public sentiment on ESG has indeed changed and that this perception influences investor views on the value of ESG performance.
This ESG investing literature and our climate finance research suggest that investors are increasingly incorporating material ESG characteristics into their investment decisions and diving deeper into these characteristics with company fundamentals.
Can ESG investing and securities lending co-exist? To some extent, investors are already integrating ESG metrics into their lending (borrowing) strategies. We know this through Harvard case studies and public reporting to UNPRI. Asset owners currently exercise their shareholder rights by recalling securities on loan or by setting a threshold on how many shares can be on loan at a given time.
For example, some Swedish asset owners have instituted a policy of recalling all securities on loan prior to annual general meetings, some Australian asset owners recall domestic securities on loan to vote prior to key votes and some French asset owners limit the percentage of a holding on loan to 90 percent when a vote is considered to be ‘high impact’.
Shareholders looking to communicate their views on a company’s performance and governance regarding material metrics vote on key themes and engage with companies on those themes.
The demand for transparency from some long-term investors (lenders) stems from thinking about fiduciary duty across generations, which raises concerns that lenders are undermining their own long-term ESG stewardship efforts by loaning stocks to borrowers that potentially disagree with (or ignore) the value of those ESG characteristics. These lenders hold companies responsible for key ESG characteristics in an effort to improve performance over time.
Currently, lender-to-borrower transparency is limited because of privacy agreements between brokers and borrowers. ESG investors lending stocks may appreciate information about the borrower or request ESG collateral of those borrowing their stocks. These requests and the solutions could take many forms and may change the pricing of the stock being loaned.
While limited literature exists on borrowers integrating ESG, a recent paper published by AQR illustrates a borrower’s perspective on ESG short-selling opportunities. This borrower looked to improve performance by shorting poorly ESG-ranked stocks (as a proxy for ESG performance), relative to an ESG-screened long-only strategy (or long/short ESG-screened strategy).
Mirroring the ESG concerns and views on stewardship of long-term ESG beneficial owners (lenders), these short positions exert pressure on the boards of companies with poor ESG rankings, as boards are aware of the percentage of their stock being shorted. While not a prevalent approach for borrowers, this sheds light on how long-term ESG investors can take part in the securities lending market.
Continuing research Empirical evidence indicates that short-selling, facilitated by securities lending, improves market efficiency and market liquidity. A holistic view of academic studies suggests that constraints on short-selling can lead to overpricing. This alleviates concerns of short-termism stemming from time-horizon misalignment of short-sellers with long-term ESG investors.
Leveraging empirical ESG and climate finance research, we know investors are using material ESG metrics in their investment decisions to improve their risk-and-return profiles. An increasing number of lenders and some borrowers apply these characteristics when considering what they loan (borrow) and to whom.
We do not yet know the impact short-selling has on a company’s material ESG performance in the long term. New insights will come from studying the changing dynamics between lenders and borrowers and the potential impact on a company’s material ESG performance. Through systematic empirical research, we may find ways and opportunities for the securities lending market to evolve and potentially grow.
We look forward to approaching these questions and continuing to apply a rigorous data-driven approach to understanding this space.
Bridget Realmuto LaPerla is head of ESG research and Travis Whitmore is a securities finance researcher at State Street Associates. This article was originally published on the State Street Associates website